A comment on a post on Instapundit this morning (more about Tesla cancelling the Cybertruck because of a talent shortage than about cancelling Falcon, but this guy mentioned Falcon as an analogy):
This is why SpaceX is winding down the Falcon 9, there are only so much talent available.
I think the issue in this case is more complex.
- Musk wants to concentrate on Starship/Super Heavy. He wants to get off the planet. He’s already made that clear.
- Musk sees a dozen (I may be exaggerating) other rocket companies futzing around and getting basically nowhere (RocketLab may be an exception) and wants them to get off the pot and build inexpensive, reusable orbital capability to replace Falcon. Deciding to cancel Falcon may be how he’s decided to put a burr in their backsides.
- Musk is not going to spin off Falcon like he might be tempted to spin off Tesla. There’s too much at stake, and the first time a spun-off Falcon malfunctions and drops on something it shouldn’t, he’ll be blamed. Better to cancel Falcon and concentrate on Starship and Super Heavy.
- Yes, there is a talent shortage. That can be blamed directly on the woke US educational system. I’ve always wondered why Musk doesn’t invest in private schools and a university, TBH. He’s willing to do other controversial things.
This is all my opinion from 30,000 feet, of course. But everything Musk does is about getting to Mars. Even the Moon is just a distraction.








